Tropical Depression Weak but still delivering Heavy rains :
Tropical depression weak but still delivering heavy rains:
Tropical depression two is still situated over Central America this morning and may not ever reach water again. The latest forecast from the NHC indicates a general west-northwestmotion will continue today followed by a turn to the west. It is noted in the latest discussion that the depression may actually track just south of due west. If this is the case, it is unlikely that the center will have much, if any, time over the Bay of Campeche.
Even though the depression is quite weak, it is still bringing a lot of rain to portions of Central America. Heavy rain from tropical cyclones, even depressions like this one, can cause life-threatening flooding conditions, especially in areas with high topography. The threat of heavy rain will persist for the next several days across the region.
The remainder of the tropics, including the east Pacific, are nice and quiet right now. I do not see any solid chances for future development over the next several days. The Atlantic Basin is generally within a downward phase of the MJO or Madden-Julian Oscillation which is typically not favorable for prolific tropical cyclone development. This does not completely rule it out, however, and as we saw with TD2, tropical waves can find a ripe environment and take advantage of it. At least in thise case, land interaction stopped the growth of this particular system.
I’ll have more Wednesday morning
Tropical depression two is still situated over Central America this morning and may not ever reach water again. The latest forecast from the NHC indicates a general west-northwestmotion will continue today followed by a turn to the west. It is noted in the latest discussion that the depression may actually track just south of due west. If this is the case, it is unlikely that the center will have much, if any, time over the Bay of Campeche.
Even though the depression is quite weak, it is still bringing a lot of rain to portions of Central America. Heavy rain from tropical cyclones, even depressions like this one, can cause life-threatening flooding conditions, especially in areas with high topography. The threat of heavy rain will persist for the next several days across the region.
The remainder of the tropics, including the east Pacific, are nice and quiet right now. I do not see any solid chances for future development over the next several days. The Atlantic Basin is generally within a downward phase of the MJO or Madden-Julian Oscillation which is typically not favorable for prolific tropical cyclone development. This does not completely rule it out, however, and as we saw with TD2, tropical waves can find a ripe environment and take advantage of it. At least in thise case, land interaction stopped the growth of this particular system.
I’ll have more Wednesday morning
The Eastern Atlantic
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The Caribbean
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The Gulf of Mexico
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GFS Most Recent Sea Level Pressure
Current North Atlantic Graphical Analysis:
Latest Tropical Weather Outlook:Latest Tropical Weather Discussion:Current Eastern Pacific Graphical Analysis:
Current Graphical Satellite Analysis From Typhoon2000.com:
Current Information From The Joint Typhoon Warning Center:Latest Tropical Weather Outlook: |
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